Considering the fact that Brown is almost universally despised in much of the country, this is a remarkable fact, and is causing the Conservative Party much anxiety.
The scratching of heads amongst the pundits is a little strange, as the reasons why the Tories have not established and held a good lead is fairly easy to find .... Cameron's tactics.
He has moved so far to the political centre, to try and steal 'New Labour' voters, that there is no longer any clear water between the two parties. The Tories have also left behind many of their own right wing voters behind when they moved to the Left, and this is support (along with white working class former labour voters, who also feel similarly abandoned by the 'New' Labour Party), that may drift to the far right BNP.
Cameron needs to espouse some policies that
- Roll back a decade of socialist bureaucracy,
- Removes the class warfare and anti white policies that Harriet Harman champions,
- Back the Armed forces against budget cuts
- Toughens the criminal penalties for gang membership, and retakes the streets from the etc etc
It now increasingly looks like the next election will result in a hung Parliament (or even a narrow Labour win) because the Tories need a swing of at least 6.5% to just deny Brown a victory ..... there's a 2005 result swingometer here if you want to play forecaster.