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Monday, 28 December 2015
Spectre Of Black Death Returns
Friday, 20 February 2015
The Apocalypse Clock Is Ticking Louder
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| The Clock Is At Ten To 2050 |
The latest forecast to make the headlines is that after 2050, the South-west and the Central Plains of the USA would likely shift to drought conditions that exceed even the great drought epochs of the so-called "Medieval Climate Anomaly" in the 12th and 13th Centuries.
Friday, 14 November 2014
China's Dark Satanic Mills
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| We Are Heading To Apocalypse 2050 |
Man made production of CO2 is reaching record levels, and the pathetic attempts to stop human greed and invoke long term altruistic self interest have utterly failed. If global warming is going to be pushed to critical levels by human activities then there is I believe no stopping it now ....
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| China's Dark Satanic Mills Produce The Most CO2 |
China and India will do nothing until they are suffering the consequences for their rich as well their poor - so we may as well start planning for the worst now ... China for example, not withstanding its international agreements, is in fact busily destroying their own environment at a record rates, with soil loss, pollution and now heat-waves .... in China agreements by the central government are often ignored in the distant provinces.
While the per capita average for the world as a whole is 5 tonnes of carbon dioxide, China is now producing 7.2 tonnes per person, to the EU's 6.8 tonnes. The US is still far ahead on 16.5 tonnes per person (with Australia a very close second). For 2014, the carbon record is likely to be broken again as emissions are predicted to hit 40bn tonnes, 65% above the 1990 levels.
India and China both started later, but are both on target for environmental degradation well before the US ....and as scientists have calculated that to have a good chance of keeping global warming below 2 degrees C, total world emissions of carbon will have stay under 3,200 billion tonnes per annum. This means the world has about 1,200 billion tonnes left before breaching that figure, but the latest data shows that there is a now a declining chance of staying below the 2 degree target.
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| The Countdown To The Apocalypse |
At present rates, in about 30 years we will have used up the remaining 'quota', and even if we stabilise at that figure, it would only give us a 66% chance of remaining below the 2 degrees figure .... which takes us to the 2050 AD prediction of the Apocalypse that this blog now favours for our civilisations watershed moment, one way or another.
Saturday, 29 August 2009
"A Perfect Storm"
In the Middle East, no attempt has ever been made to cut birth rates of 10 or more children, especially amongst the poor and ill educated. There are several populations with very high population growth rates, such as those of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Egypt, or the United Arab Emirates. Its been pointed out that Iran is a notable exception to the regional trends.
In the sub continent, only Mrs Indira Gandhi ever tried any forceful birth control measures (and she was assassinated). Despite some evidence that birth rates are falling in India, it appears that she is still likely to overtake China in population levels by 2050 AD.
Pakistan is on a track of mass population growth (which should worry the UK), and is expected to go through the roof. In 1950 Pakistan had a population of about 40 million people. Since then it has more than tripled and stood at 136 million in 1995. But because the country not only has a very young population, but also still an extremely high fertility rate (much higher, for instance, than in Bangladesh or Thailand), its predicted that Pakistan's population will be about 357 million by 2050 AD.
The Chinese have practised a one child policy for decades (with some success), but recently they have relaxed it to two children to stabilise the population and to get rid of the male orientated population that the one child policy produced.
Sub Saharan Africa has no birth rate policies, and Nigeria is predicted to have grown from a population in 1950 of about 33 million to about 112 million now. The UN predicts that between 1995 and the year 2050 the country's population will probably triple again and reach almost 339 million ..... a ten fold increase in less than a century.
By 2050 AD a much bigger share of the world population will live in Africa South of the Sahara. In only some 50 years Western Africa, for instance, will have the same population as all of Europe. Eastern Africa will have many more people than all the countries of South America, the Caribbean and Oceania combined.
So we face an unprecedented population explosion, and no resources to feed them .... the US survivalists may be on to something.
Saturday, 25 April 2009
Worlds Rivers Drying Up
The only area with a significant increase in water flows was the Arctic and Himalayas, due to a greater amount of snow and ice melting, and that's a disaster as well, because once the glacial ice has gone, its gone, and India and China will lose 30% of their fresh water supplies.
From the Yellow river in northern China, to the Ganges in India, to the Colorado river in the United States - US scientists say that the major sources of fresh water for much of the world's population are in decline.
We laughed at those 'Survivalists' but they may be the last ones standing.
Saturday, 4 April 2009
Earth Over Populated
I have been blogging on 2050 AD, and the forthcoming Apocalypse, but for some reason scientists keep trying to bring the date forward!
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| Overcrowded Earth |
The latest report is that the Earth's population 'exceeds its limits'. Dr Nina Fedoroff said that humans had exceeded the Earth's "limits of sustainability".
Sunday, 22 March 2009
Enough To Make You Turn In Your Grave
This blog has followed the approach of 'The Apocalypse' in a series of articles
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| Apocalypse |
- Malthus and the Four Horseman
- Predictions of Disaster
- When Chickens come Home to Roost, and the ever popular
- End of the World is Nigh
But always with the blasé assumption, that I personally wouldn't be around when it all happened, and that I would be safely tucked up in my grave when it arrived.
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